Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
M'gladbach
23.7%
Draw
16.9%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
M'gladbach
vs
0.91
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).