Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Ternana
30.0%
Draw
29.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Ternana
vs
1.09
Perugia
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).