Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Casa Pia
14.8%
Draw
79.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Casa Pia
vs
2.51
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.7%
0-3
12.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
7.7%
1-1
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
1-5
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).