Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Exeter
21.7%
Draw
13.4%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Exeter
vs
0.64
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).