Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Spal
25.6%
Draw
55.9%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Spal
vs
1.76
Venezia
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).