Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Nott'm Forest
29.1%
Draw
18.9%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.76
Brentford
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).