Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
St Mirren
30.3%
Draw
24.6%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
St Mirren
vs
0.86
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).