Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Livorno
31.5%
Draw
47.1%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Livorno
vs
1.28
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
14.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).