Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Aldershot
25.4%
Draw
42.9%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Aldershot
vs
1.68
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).