Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting
13.6%
Draw
3.7%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.38
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS29.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.7%
3-0
14.5%
1-0
14.0%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
5-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
1.8%
5-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).