Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Moreirense
25.9%
Draw
27.2%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Moreirense
vs
0.99
Aves
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).