Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Fiorentina
22.0%
Draw
16.5%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Fiorentina
vs
0.82
Verona
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).