Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Virtus Entella
31.8%
Draw
33.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Virtus Entella
vs
1.09
Spal
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).