Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Sociedad
26.6%
Draw
19.9%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Sociedad
vs
0.81
Alaves
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).