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23 Sept 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Andorra
25.6%
Draw
34.6%
Sp Gijon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Andorra

vs
1.28

Sp Gijon

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).