Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Rotherham
31.1%
Draw
26.7%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Rotherham
vs
0.93
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).