Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Chesterfield
21.5%
Draw
57.2%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Chesterfield
vs
2.22
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-3
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).