Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Dijon
18.7%
Draw
68.0%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Dijon
vs
2.05
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).