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HHT: 20CSV

18 Feb 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.1%
Oxford
18.8%
Draw
18.1%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Oxford

vs
1.00

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).