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07 May 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Caen
22.5%
Draw
48.9%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Caen

vs
1.65

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).