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AHT: 12CSV

22 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Altrincham
26.8%
Draw
23.2%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Altrincham

vs
1.03

Fylde

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).