Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Crawley Town
24.4%
Draw
41.0%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Crawley Town
vs
1.45
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).