Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Levante
17.3%
Draw
6.8%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Levante
vs
0.45
Lugo
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.3%
1-0
16.8%
3-0
12.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).