Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Lokomotiv Moskva
34.6%
Draw
42.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
1.11
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.2%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).