Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Arouca
23.6%
Draw
47.6%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Arouca
vs
1.61
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).