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03 Feb 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.7%
Gaziantep
17.6%
Draw
75.6%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Gaziantep

vs
2.64

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
0-5
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).