Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Rochdale
25.8%
Draw
11.9%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Rochdale
vs
0.57
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).