Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Dunfermline
32.1%
Draw
50.6%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Dunfermline
vs
1.35
Livingston
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).