Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Karagumruk
34.2%
Draw
37.1%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Karagumruk
vs
1.28
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).