Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Genk
23.0%
Draw
24.1%
Cercle Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Genk
vs
1.28
Cercle Brugge
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).