Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Livorno
33.1%
Draw
20.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Livorno
vs
0.69
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).