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08 Dec 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Dender
26.1%
Draw
48.4%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Dender

vs
1.57

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).