Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Leicester
22.8%
Draw
55.8%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Leicester
vs
2.05
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).