Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Torquay
19.4%
Draw
14.8%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Torquay
vs
1.08
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).