Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Dunfermline
14.0%
Draw
3.2%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Dunfermline
vs
0.30
Forfar
Markets
BTTS23.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
19.6%
1-0
16.6%
3-0
15.1%
4-0
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
5-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
0-1
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).