Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Dover Athletic
28.0%
Draw
45.1%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Dover Athletic
vs
1.49
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).