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02 Oct 2021 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.6%
Vizela
29.6%
Draw
35.8%
Santa Clara

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Vizela

vs
1.01

Santa Clara

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).