Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Genoa
24.3%
Draw
53.7%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Genoa
vs
1.64
Como
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).