Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Oviedo
30.9%
Draw
32.1%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Oviedo
vs
0.94
Elche
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.2%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).