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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Knaphill
34.4%
Draw
28.7%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Knaphill

vs
0.73

Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

Markets

BTTS29.7%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.521.6%
Over 3.57.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.8%
1-0
18.0%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).