Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.7%
Rio Ave
10.1%
Draw
85.2%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Rio Ave
vs
2.91
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-3
12.9%
0-4
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-5
5.5%
1-4
5.2%
1-1
4.8%
1-5
3.0%
0-0
2.9%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).