Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Toulouse
30.5%
Draw
22.4%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Toulouse
vs
0.64
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
0-0
16.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).