Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.9%
Ad. Demirspor
6.9%
Draw
91.2%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Ad. Demirspor
vs
4.03
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.595.4%
Over 2.584.7%
Over 3.568.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.0%
0-3
9.9%
0-5
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
1-4
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
1-5
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
1-1
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-4
2.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).