Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Genoa
14.9%
Draw
12.2%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Genoa
vs
1.07
Crotone
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
4-1
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).