Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Barcelona
12.6%
Draw
8.2%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Barcelona
vs
0.97
Betis
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-1
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
5-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
5-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).