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DHT: 01CSV

05 May 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Alaves
33.0%
Draw
24.5%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Alaves

vs
0.69

Granada

Markets

BTTS31.8%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.5%
0-0
17.9%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).