Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Doncaster
24.4%
Draw
38.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Doncaster
vs
1.32
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).