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AHT: 12CSV

01 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Grimsby
25.0%
Draw
44.2%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Grimsby

vs
1.44

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).