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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.7%
Sporting Khalsa
18.5%
Draw
15.8%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Sporting Khalsa

vs
1.00

Coventry

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).