Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Santa Clara
32.1%
Draw
29.3%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Santa Clara
vs
0.95
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).